Even though I lived there.
I can read Arabic with a dictionary nearby
I studied the Middle East as a concentration in Intl. Affairs. You want to see my transcript?
For the past couple of days, a lot of friends have been coming to me for answers/explanations/to know if this is “good” or “bad”. I’ve seen a lot of instapundits on Twitter and Facebook and yes, here on Tumblr. Twitter, of course, biases you towards the protestors (not neccessarily a bad bias, but increasingly I realize relying on a limited window of self-selected followers will not give you a full picture of any policy change or event).
And when I try to honestly answer my friend’s questions, I realize how much I don’t know, and how everyone who is thinking about this crisis in good faith is also hustling for some information. My impressions of the country are over four years old, and tainted with the fact that I was very very scared until I was just about to leave. I fear crowds because of Cairo - no matter the intention of the crowd. That is another story.
I read the philosophical starting point of the Muslim Brotherhood, (and probably got myself on a watch list in 2004 because of it) and it was scary. Yet, that document no longer directly represents their aims, but then I think, how do I know what I know about them, about Mubarak, about Egyptians in general?
Two weeks ago, I would have told you that while they are happy to have the Pyramids/etc in their country, today’s Egyptians have no real connection with the Pharonic artifacts (today’s egyptians are mostly descended from Turks and people from Middle Asia). I was wrong, obviously. Some Egyptians formed a human chain around the museum to try and protect it.
What else was I wrong about? What assumptions are people using?
And then there is the problem of the sweeping generalization. If 1 million people attended a rally in Washington, but you didn’t agree with it, would you be happy with people on twitter saying “Americans want this.”
Granted a rally, or any political action is based on a sampling of a larger section of people who hold that belief, but still - it takes a lot of hard thinking to undo snap judgements that people a half a world away make.
And then, the actions of the U.S. government. I have never thought that that $2 billion (some of that is military, some of that is direct aid) we give them a year goes anywhere but down the black hole of government corruption. Yet, I think it is short-sighted to say that U.S. acting like it has interests (self-interest, yes) in Egypt is morally wrong. The “obviously” right, honorable thing to do is to not support Mubarak. We shouldn’t hold up dictators, but then who should we hold up? Anyone who has legitimate popular support in the Middle East these days - I can bet you probably don’t like them. They don’t subscribe to the same ideals or the same worldview. Which is fine, but I think people really have to wrap their heads around alternatives and then say, I’m okay with this as a citizen of the world. That people should have the right to choose their leaders, even if I hate what their leaders stand for. When, in the actually tiny tiny world that we live in, who rules another county does have an affect on you. I don’t like everything that State Dept. does, but I’m glad they’re there.
In 2006, a young Egyptian man told me, with complete seriousness that he believed George Bush would invade Egypt in the near future. I tried to convince him otherwise, but he would hear nothing of it. What didn’t he know that I did? Was my understanding of U.S public opinion on wars we were already running? Knowing the U.S. wouldn’t invade a county without oil? The existing political status quo that was Egypt/U.S. relations?
What don’t you know?
I support the protesters - this has been coming for too long in a country that has been literally starved by its own government. The one thing I was right about - that I’ve been saying since 2006? “With Egypt, it’s only a matter of time before something happens.” But I don’t think the people cheering them on understand the full implications of what’s going to happen once we stop paying attention (and we will. What’s happening in Tunisia right now?)
Insh’allah Misr you will come through this better than before.
EDIT: Just saw that CNN used a Zawhiri video during a “What’s Next for Egypt?” segement. One of the things I DO know is that Muslim Brotherhood does not equal Al Qaeda. MB are a sort of national “party” (if parties other than NDP were allowed) and are not associated with actual terror groups based in Egypt. That being said, I wouldn’t be thrilled to live in a MB gov, I think.
“Ms. Eltahawy told CNN: “The Mubarak regime has never cared about the museum. If the Mubarak regime cared about the museum it would take care of the priceless items there. They don’t care about it. They care about the pyramids because they took the money from toursm and put it into their own pockets.”
Actual, I think I agree with her, with the minor and hopefully levity bringing caveat of ZAHIIII, the most ridiculous minister of antiquities ever.